Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 105.403194 119.678998 135.384864 153.980354 175.440147 199.479619 228.520855
2026-02-01 85.264379 104.052832 126.430118 155.180829 191.332785 235.535107 294.056610
2026-02-08 71.816492 92.181031 117.830327 152.767554 199.516091 260.470565 346.881184
2026-02-15 63.664037 85.128437 113.422107 153.858983 210.835865 289.251132 407.073021
2026-02-22 57.737638 79.957012 110.415759 155.801805 222.712535 319.303522 472.178087
2026-03-01 51.316945 73.208693 104.235705 152.153322 225.613945 336.165834 519.322956
2026-03-08 46.230212 67.736155 99.146262 149.257088 228.874750 353.369218 568.568632
2026-03-15 42.360345 63.615102 95.534725 148.023856 234.262633 374.074918 625.717308
2026-03-22 40.574265 62.443677 96.210314 153.448004 250.721733 414.320251 721.204788
2026-03-29 38.752517 61.008918 96.270551 157.762418 265.640336 453.485338 820.024506
2026-04-05 36.134286 58.037705 93.540864 157.036235 271.640258 477.530809 893.897987
2026-04-12 34.213947 56.034612 92.199529 158.498337 281.560226 509.596192 987.483177
2026-04-19 31.738440 53.087241 89.334208 157.599072 288.257080 538.769043 1084.946713
2026-04-26 29.841916 50.992109 87.793011 159.035916 299.757852 579.245384 1214.233505
2026-05-03 27.575529 48.024934 84.394837 156.567022 303.239748 604.029065 1313.697997
2026-05-10 26.049753 46.245367 82.967155 157.689076 314.013213 645.299248 1457.990723
2026-05-17 24.783716 44.822846 82.051928 159.685494 326.793053 692.605727 1625.482372
2026-05-24 22.942179 42.155013 78.511090 155.936479 326.741706 711.317768 1725.837150
2026-05-31 21.366445 39.865833 75.500913 152.960623 327.994010 733.129824 1838.277691
2026-06-07 20.119095 38.115241 73.402132 151.693537 332.929301 764.297727 1981.766835
2026-06-14 19.669645 37.909794 74.400119 157.266807 354.446187 839.021144 2261.478452
2026-06-21 19.128904 37.471249 74.870136 161.700237 373.817358 911.382409 2550.602971
2026-06-28 18.153490 36.056961 73.159419 160.953998 380.349565 951.385546 2751.493524